A review of bus crash severity analyses
Email:
ntchuong@utc.edu.vn
Từ khóa:
Bus, crash, severity, review, factor, safety.
Tóm tắt
The bus plays an important role in serving the urban travel demand in both developed and developing countries. Unfortunately, the heavy operation of this mode may come together with crashes, which may cause adverse effects on its image and service quality from the view of the public, thereby leading to a reduction in ridership. The knowledge on characteristics of crashes is, therefore, desired. While most of the research focus is on the probability of crash occurrence, the severity of crashes has recently attracted increasing attention from researchers. This paper aims to synthesize previous studies on crash severity. By means of looking at 11 studies carefully selected from the SCOPUS database, this paper has provided a detailed synthesis of data collection, research areas, used samples, seven factor groups associated with the crash severity (Temporal characteristics, Location and infrastructure characteristics, Service and vehicle characteristics, Traffic characteristics, Crash characteristics, Weather characteristics, Driver characteristics and behaviours), and analytical methods. Afterwards, research gaps and shortcomings of the existing research are highlighted for proposing future research directions. This review could help to save efforts to obtain a clear understanding of bus crash severity. It may be an informative reference for those newly accessing the field of bus crash severity and/or intending to develop solutions to this problem.Tài liệu tham khảo
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[18]. U. Barua, R. Tay, Severity of urban transit bus crashes in Bangladesh, Journal of Advanced Transportation, 44 (2010) 34–41. https://doi.org/10.1002/atr.104
[19]. E.F. Sam, S. Daniels, K. Brijs, T. Brijs, G. Wets, Modelling public bus/minibus transport accident severity in Ghana, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 119 (2018) 114–121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2018.07.008
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[21]. M. Rahman, L. Kattan, R. Tay, Injury Risk in Collisions Involving Buses in Alberta, Canada, Transportation Research Record, 2265 (2011) 13–26. https://doi.org/10.3141/2265-02
[22]. S. Kaplan, C.G. Prato, Risk factors associated with bus accident severity in the United States: A generalized ordered logit model, Journal of Safety Research, 43 (2012) 171–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2012.05.003
[23]. C.G. Prato, S. Kaplan, Bus accident severity and passenger injury: evidence from Denmark, Eur. Transp. Res. Rev., 6 (2014) 17–30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12544-013-0107-z
[24]. S. Yoon, S.-Y. Kho, D.-K. Kim, Effect of Regional Characteristics on Injury Severity in Local Bus Crashes: Use of Hierarchical Ordered Model, Transportation Research Record, 2647 (2017) 1–8. https://doi.org/10.3141/2647-01
[25]. R. Tamakloe, J. Hong, D. Park, A copula-based approach for jointly modeling crash severity and number of vehicles involved in express bus crashes on expressways considering temporal stability of data, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 146 (2020) 105736. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2020.105736
[26]. S.A. Samerei, K. Aghabayk, A. Mohammadi, N. Shiwakoti, Data mining approach to model bus crash severity in Australia, Journal of Safety Research, 76 (2021) 73–82. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2020.12.004
[27]. A.K. Jägerbrand, J. Sjöbergh, Effects of weather conditions, light conditions, and road lighting on vehicle speed, SpringerPlus, 5 (2016) 505. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40064-016-2124-6
[28]. S.H. Walker, D.B. Duncan, Estimation of the probability of an event as a function of several independent variables, Biometrika, 54 (1967) 167–179. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/54.1-2.167
[29]. R. Williams, Understanding and interpreting generalized ordered logit models, The Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 40 (2016) 7–20. https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2015.1112384
[30]. K. Wang, T. Bhowmik, S. Yasmin, S. Zhao, N. Eluru, E. Jackson, Multivariate copula temporal modeling of intersection crash consequence metrics: A joint estimation of injury severity, crash type, vehicle damage and driver error, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 125 (2019) 188–197. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2019.01.036
[31]. M.H. Nguyen, Factors influencing home-based telework in Hanoi (Vietnam) during and after the COVID-19 era, Transportation, 48 (2021) 3207–3238. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-021-10169-5
[32]. M.H. Nguyen, D. Pojani, T.C. Nguyen, T.T. Ha, The impact of Covid-19 on children’s active travel to school in Vietnam, Journal of Transport Geography, (2021) 103191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2021.103191
[33]. J. De Vos, The effect of COVID-19 and subsequent social distancing on travel behavior, Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 5 (2020) 100121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100121
[34]. M.H. Nguyen, J. Armoogum, B. Nguyen Thi, Factors Affecting the Growth of E-Shopping over the COVID-19 Era in Hanoi, Vietnam, Sustainability, 13 (2021) 9205. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13169205
[35]. D. Mardi Safitri, I. Surjandari, R. Jachrizal Sumabrata, Assessing factors affecting safety violations of bus rapid transit drivers in the Greater Jakarta Area, Safety Science, 125 (2020) 104634. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2020.104634
[2]. D. Pojani, D. Stead, Sustainable Urban Transport in the Developing World: Beyond Megacities, Sustainability, 7 (2015) 7784–7805. https://doi.org/10.3390/su7067784
[3]. G. Currie, Bus Transit Oriented Development — Strengths and Challenges Relative to Rail, Journal of Public Transportation. 9 (2006). https://doi.org/10.5038/2375-0901.9.4.1
[4]. M.H. Nguyen, D. Pojani, Chapter Two - Why Do Some BRT Systems in the Global South Fail to Perform or Expand?, in: Y. Shiftan, M. Kamargianni (Eds.), Preparing for the New Era of Transport Policies: Learning from Experience, Academic Press, (2018) 35–61. https://doi.org/10.1016/bs.atpp.2018.07.005
[5]. D. Pojani, Planning for Sustainable Urban Transport in Southeast Asia Policy Transfer, Diffusion, and Mobility., Springer, Cham, 2020. http://public.eblib.com/choice/PublicFullRecord.aspx?p=6179437 (accessed May 1, 2020).
[6]. D. Pojani, D. Stead, eds., The Urban Transport Crisis in Emerging Economies, Springer International Publishing, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43851-1
[7]. M.H. Nguyen, T.T. Ha, S.S. Tu, T.C. Nguyen, Impediments to the bus rapid transit implementation in developing countries – a typical evidence from Hanoi, International Journal of Urban Sciences, 4 (2019) 464–483. https://doi.org/10.1080/12265934.2019.1577747
[8]. M.H. Nguyen, D. Pojani, Covid-19 need not spell the death of public transport: Learning from Hanoi’s safety measures, Journal of Transport & Health, (2021) 101279. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jth.2021.101279
[9]. M.H. Nguyen, D. Pojani, Why are Hanoi students giving up on bus ridership?, Transportation, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-021-10262-9
[10]. D. Hidalgo, L. Gutiérrez, BRT and BHLS around the world: Explosive growth, large positive impacts and many issues outstanding, Research in Transportation Economics, 39 (2013) 8–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2012.05.018
[11]. D. Hidalgo, L. Pereira, N. Estupinan, P.L. Jimenez, TransMilenio BRT system in Bogota, high performance and positive impact – Main results of an ex-post evaluation, Research in Transportation Economics, 39 (2013) 133–138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2012.06.005
[12]. D. Chimba, T. Sando, V. Kwigizile, Effect of bus size and operation to crash occurrences, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 42 (2010) 2063–2067. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2010.06.018
[13]. S. Feng, Z. Li, Y. Ci, G. Zhang, Risk factors affecting fatal bus accident severity: Their impact on different types of bus drivers, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 86 (2016) 29–39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2015.09.025
[14]. R. Gorham, Nigeria, in: D. Pojani, D. Stead (Eds.), The Urban Transport Crisis in Emerging Economies, Springer International Publishing, Cham, (2017) 173–195. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43851-1_9
[15]. World Bank, Guide for Road Safety Opportunities and Challenges : Low and Middle Income Country Profiles, Washington, DC., USA, 2020. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/33363 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
[16]. T.C. Nguyen, M.H. Nguyen, J. Armoogum, T.T. Ha, Bus Crash Severity in Hanoi, Vietnam, Safety, 7 (2021) 65. https://doi.org/10.3390/safety7030065
[17]. T. Pearce, D.A.C. Maunder, T.C. Mbara, D.M. Babu, T. Rwebangira, Bus Accidents in India, Nepal, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe, Transportation Research Record, 1726 (2000) 16–23. https://doi.org/10.3141/1726-03
[18]. U. Barua, R. Tay, Severity of urban transit bus crashes in Bangladesh, Journal of Advanced Transportation, 44 (2010) 34–41. https://doi.org/10.1002/atr.104
[19]. E.F. Sam, S. Daniels, K. Brijs, T. Brijs, G. Wets, Modelling public bus/minibus transport accident severity in Ghana, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 119 (2018) 114–121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2018.07.008
[20]. F. Kobeissy, L. Carnis, The excuse is worse than the fault: It’s time now to improve road safety in Lebanon, Case Studies on Transport Policy, (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2021.02.006
[21]. M. Rahman, L. Kattan, R. Tay, Injury Risk in Collisions Involving Buses in Alberta, Canada, Transportation Research Record, 2265 (2011) 13–26. https://doi.org/10.3141/2265-02
[22]. S. Kaplan, C.G. Prato, Risk factors associated with bus accident severity in the United States: A generalized ordered logit model, Journal of Safety Research, 43 (2012) 171–180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2012.05.003
[23]. C.G. Prato, S. Kaplan, Bus accident severity and passenger injury: evidence from Denmark, Eur. Transp. Res. Rev., 6 (2014) 17–30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12544-013-0107-z
[24]. S. Yoon, S.-Y. Kho, D.-K. Kim, Effect of Regional Characteristics on Injury Severity in Local Bus Crashes: Use of Hierarchical Ordered Model, Transportation Research Record, 2647 (2017) 1–8. https://doi.org/10.3141/2647-01
[25]. R. Tamakloe, J. Hong, D. Park, A copula-based approach for jointly modeling crash severity and number of vehicles involved in express bus crashes on expressways considering temporal stability of data, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 146 (2020) 105736. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2020.105736
[26]. S.A. Samerei, K. Aghabayk, A. Mohammadi, N. Shiwakoti, Data mining approach to model bus crash severity in Australia, Journal of Safety Research, 76 (2021) 73–82. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2020.12.004
[27]. A.K. Jägerbrand, J. Sjöbergh, Effects of weather conditions, light conditions, and road lighting on vehicle speed, SpringerPlus, 5 (2016) 505. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40064-016-2124-6
[28]. S.H. Walker, D.B. Duncan, Estimation of the probability of an event as a function of several independent variables, Biometrika, 54 (1967) 167–179. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/54.1-2.167
[29]. R. Williams, Understanding and interpreting generalized ordered logit models, The Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 40 (2016) 7–20. https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2015.1112384
[30]. K. Wang, T. Bhowmik, S. Yasmin, S. Zhao, N. Eluru, E. Jackson, Multivariate copula temporal modeling of intersection crash consequence metrics: A joint estimation of injury severity, crash type, vehicle damage and driver error, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 125 (2019) 188–197. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2019.01.036
[31]. M.H. Nguyen, Factors influencing home-based telework in Hanoi (Vietnam) during and after the COVID-19 era, Transportation, 48 (2021) 3207–3238. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-021-10169-5
[32]. M.H. Nguyen, D. Pojani, T.C. Nguyen, T.T. Ha, The impact of Covid-19 on children’s active travel to school in Vietnam, Journal of Transport Geography, (2021) 103191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2021.103191
[33]. J. De Vos, The effect of COVID-19 and subsequent social distancing on travel behavior, Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 5 (2020) 100121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100121
[34]. M.H. Nguyen, J. Armoogum, B. Nguyen Thi, Factors Affecting the Growth of E-Shopping over the COVID-19 Era in Hanoi, Vietnam, Sustainability, 13 (2021) 9205. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13169205
[35]. D. Mardi Safitri, I. Surjandari, R. Jachrizal Sumabrata, Assessing factors affecting safety violations of bus rapid transit drivers in the Greater Jakarta Area, Safety Science, 125 (2020) 104634. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2020.104634
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Nhận bài
25/03/2022
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10/05/2022
Chấp nhận đăng
14/05/2022
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15/05/2022
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Kiểu trích dẫn
Thanh Chuong, N., & Minh Hieu, N. (7600). A review of bus crash severity analyses . Tạp Chí Khoa Học Giao Thông Vận Tải, 73(4), 439-448. https://doi.org/10.47869/tcsj.73.4.8
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